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"US Fixed Income Markets"
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Corpus: 1990-03-17 – 2025-12-01
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EFTA01146788
Dataset 9
2012-08-31
8p
6,176w
…Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys. Bruce Kasman. et al. • Bonds edged up on the week. As so often over the past few years, all eyes are
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini on central banks. Fed Chairman Bemanke delivered no major surprises today. Ramaswamy But then Jackson Hole speeches last year and the year before did not provide Global Fixed Income Markets, Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio clear signals or material rallies on the day (see chart), even as…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01146788.pdf
EFTA01181150
Dataset 9
2012-09-07
8p
5,854w
…There remains considerable uncertainty as to when Global Markets Outlook and Strategy, Jan Loeys, Bruce bond buying will begin, not least because the ECB's request for the IMF to be Kasman, et al. involved in setting the related conditionality will likely make Spain all the
US Fixed Income Markets
, Terry Belton and Srini more reluctant to sign up. Ramaswamy Global Fixed Income Markets, Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio • Peripheral bonds have already enjoyed a dizzying rally since July. From here…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01181150.pdf
EFTA01170207
Dataset 9
8p
5,847w
…outflows, EM bond mutual fund flows were about flat Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys. Bruce this week. We take profit on underweights in EMEA, moving from overall Kasman. et al. short duration in EM local bonds to flat. Our new EM Cross Product Strategy
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini Weekly (Eric Beinstein, Oct. 19) details our top trade recommendations, Ramaswamy including receivers in South Africa, and inflation linkers in Brazil. Global Fixed Income Markets, Pavan…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01170207.pdf
EFTA01172027
Dataset 9
8p
6,086w
…for Euro area banks is on the cards next week. With Kasman. el al. the ECB's policy rate likely to be cut Thursday to 1%, the crisis low, Presi-
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini dent's Draghi's guidance on whether it can go lower will be keenly watched. Ramaswamy Our call is for a rate of 50bp by mid-2012, supporting a bullish euro money Global Fixed Income Markets. Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio market view…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01172027.pdf
EFTA01170770
Dataset 9
8p
5,884w
…We remain defensive on peripherals, and Kasman. el al. add back the Spain underweight we closed last week.
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Stini Ramaswamy • Please help us to gauge prospects for inflation by completing our Inflation Global Fixed Income Markets. Pavan Wadbwa and Fabio Expectations Survey on: Bassi Equities Emerging Markets Outlook and Strategy. Joyce Chang Key trades and risk: Emermng Market Equity Strategy. • US equities continued to rally for a fourth straight week fuelled by this…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01170770.pdf
EFTA01146380
Dataset 9
2012-10-12
8p
6,029w
…Jan Loeys. Bruce European Duration Survey. But for the near term, we are wary of a Spanish Kasman. et al. downgrade from Moody's, to below investment-grade, and thus move to a
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini more defensive stance, including by cutting overweights in the EMU core vs Ramaswamy Germany, and adding outright longs in German Bunds. Global Fixed Income Markets. Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio Bassi Equities Emerging Markets Outlook and Strategy. Joyce Chang • Global…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01146380.pdf
EFTA01181711
Dataset 9
2012-10-05
8p
5,861w
Global Asset Allocation J.P.Morgan 05 October 2012 The . Morgan View What do you buy your children? • Asset allocation — A long-term portfolio, fix you or your children, should Global Asset Allocation concentrate on value. This means large holdings of equities, especially value Jan Loeys AC stocks, small caps and EM, combined with BB/BBB rated debt of corporates (1-212)834-5874 and sovereigns, plus smaller holdings of gold, crude, and undervalued currencies. JPMorgan these Bank NA Economics…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01181711.pdf
EFTA00818577
Dataset 9
2016-09-12
11p
1,706w
Subject:
A lot more bonds than equities in risk parity portfolios. It is not too late to hedge
From:
"Ens, Amanda"
To:
"jeffrey E." <
[email protected]
>, "
… We are in hurricane season. The increase in US Treasury volatility around comments from Jackson Hole has
US fixed income markets
at dangerous technical levels. Both investment grade credit and more importantly the 10 & 30y US Treasuries (7-10y ETF IEF below) completed big outside range days to the downside. EFTA00818582 cid:1904189199 Source: Bloomberg SPX / Bond Correlation Moving Higher as Hourly SPX-IEF Correlation Ticks Positive More importantly the correlation between US equities and US fixed income is increasing…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00818577.pdf
EFTA01176677
Dataset 9
2012-05-04
8p
5,874w
…over the next few months, but weakish economic data and Euro area uncertainties (including this weekend's elections) make us Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys. Bruce reluctant to position for this at present. Kasman. et al.
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Sdni • Instead we focus risk on exploiting a range of monetary policy crosscurrents. Ramaswanly In the UK, we expect no further easing this year, with persistent inflation Globe/ Fixed Income Markets. Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01176677.pdf
EFTA01169776
Dataset 9
8p
5,895w
…BoE owning over a third of the UK gilt market. Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys. Bruce Kasman. el al. • Yet monetary policy takes second place right now to the keenly awaited
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini decisions of EU politicians, first on bank capital and then on Greek funding. Ramaswamy The increased likelihood of bank recaps has helped Spanish and Italian Global Fixed Income Markets, Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio bonds to rally in the past…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01169776.pdf
EFTA02702625
Dataset 11
2012-11-09
8p
5,904w
…and David Hensley via ovenvcighis in Euro area peripherals, US MBS, and EM local bonds vs Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys, Bruce DM. Kasman. et al.
US Fixed Income Markets
, Terry Belton and Srini Equities Ramaswamy • Equity markets fell sharply post US elections, but we are not changing our Global Fixed Income Markets, Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio strategy. Bassi Emerging Markets Outlook and Strategy. Joyce Chang • From a month ago, we avoided directional longs in our GMOS model…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2011/EFTA02702625.pdf
EFTA00598000
Dataset 9
8p
5,869w
…worth overweighting the exporters in the US and Europe. Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan !says. Bruce Kasman. el al. • The circus in Washington and Brussels has taken some attention away from
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Stini economic data. Until today's US GDP report, activity data were largely in line Ramaswamy with expectations (lowered over past months). But the overall lowering of the Global Fixed Income A4arkets, Pavan Wadlma and Fabio US GDP profile over recent…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00598000.pdf
EFTA01123906
Dataset 9
8p
5,938w
…Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys. Bruce the EMU crisis. In keeping with the position reversals across markets, our Kasman. et al. client surveys point to bond managers switching from slightly net long to
US Fixed Income Markets
. Teny Belton and Srini short in both the US and Euro area. Ramaswamy Global Fixed Income Markets, Pavan Wadliwa and Fabio • The emerging consensus among EU leaders appears to involve a greater Greek Bassi writedown, aggressive bank recapitalisation. and leveraging the EFSF…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01123906.pdf
EFTA01981558
Dataset 10
2014-07-11
8p
6,835w
…Bruce Kasman, David Hensley and 1.5%. However, while these growth revisions reflect a more moderate near Joe Lupton Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys el al. term profile, medium-term we continue to see a broadening of Euro area
US Fixed Income Markets
, Mad Jozoff, and Alex Roever growth across sectors and countries. Indeed, we revise our growth forecast for Global Fixed Income Markets. Fabio Bassi et al. next year from 2QI5 to 4QI 5 from 2.0…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01981558.pdf
EFTA01146217
Dataset 9
2012-10-26
8p
6,030w
…Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan boys. Bruce 4% gain relative to DM govies (currency hedged) so far this year is in keeping Kasman. et al. with a steady pattern of outperformance since 2009. One supporting factor has
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Sdni been a step up in inflows to EM local currency bond funds in recent weeks, Ramaswamy triggered by QE3. The rate outlook is more idiosyncratic across countries in Global Fixed Income Markets. Pavan Wadhwa and…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01146217.pdf
EFTA01175987
Dataset 9
8p
5,905w
J.PMorgan Global Asset Allocation J.P. Morgan Chase Bank NA, J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. Apr 2O, 2O12 he J.P. Morgan View Seven puzzles Jan Loeyee Asset Allocation — No changes. Long equities and credit vs bonds and cash over next 3 months. Signals for next few weeks seem quite neutral. • Economics — No forecast changes, but weaker data bias our 2.5% Q2 US John Normand forecast to the lower 2's. • Fixed Income— We recommend bearish money market…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01175987.pdf
EFTA01176400
Dataset 9
8p
5,881w
…evidence that the Euro Area is growing into a political unit, exactly what is needed to make EMU work. Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys. Bruce Kasman. et al. Fixed income
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini • Bonds edged a little higher, with German and Australian benchmarks record- Ramaswamy ing new all-time yield lows, in a week of data disappointments. Intra-EMU Global Fixed Income Markets. Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio spreads held in despite a wobble…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01176400.pdf
EFTA01171349
Dataset 9
8p
5,883w
…Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys. Bruce • Greek politics repriced the yield curve lower, but the aborted referendum was Kasman, el al. just the most striking of a gamut of European surprises, including an unex-
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini pected ECB rate cut. The renewed Greek drama, an inconclusive G-20, and a Ramaswamy poor Spanish auction all conspired to send intra-EMU spreads soaring once Global Fixed Income Markets, Pavan Wadbwa and Fabio more…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01171349.pdf
EFTA01149274
Dataset 9
8p
5,905w
…in the first four weeks). Spain is our preferred UW. Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan boys. Bruce • The ECB changed tack by more than expected this week in response to the Kasman. el al. economic slowdown, declaring that inflation risks are now balanced (instead
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini of to the upside). The likelihood of a near-term ease has increased substan- Ramaswamy tially. That, and the peripheral turbulence, prompt us to go long duration…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01149274.pdf
EFTA01176770
Dataset 9
8p
5,876w
…would have significantly further to widen. Europe is surely unpre- Global Markets Outlook and Strategy. Jan Loeys. Bruce pared for the scale of the consequent hedging flows from investors, Kasman. et al. corporates and depositors seeking protection against potential currency risk
US Fixed Income Markets
. Terry Belton and Srini between EMU members, in our view. Ramaswamy Global Fixed Income Markets. Pavan Wadhwa and Fabio • What to do in the face of a risk which is so difficult to forecast? Many …
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01176770.pdf
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