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Corpus: 1990-03-17 – 2025-12-01
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EFTA00628225
Dataset 9
2013-04-08
4p
2,630w
Subject:
The J.P. Morgan View
From:
US GIO <
[email protected]
>
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
…within EM and prefer to focus on under-owned markets with good domestic demand story such as Mexico and Malaysia. On the contrary we underweight export oriented countries in Asia such as Korea and Taiwan. Credit • Spread moves were mixed this week, as local themes continued to dictate market moves. Most notably, negative surprises in the
US data
flow, culminating in today's payrolls miss, led US spreads wider. However, European credit tightened against the recent run of EFTA00628226 play…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00628225.pdf
EFTA01181637
Dataset 9
2012-10-03
7p
2,375w
Subject:
J.P. Morgan Macro Skinny: more signs of stabilization in the global cycle
From:
US GIO
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
…probably held back by recent tax hikes, rather than reflecting a deepening slowdown. On the whole, ECB policy is finally starting to lift European business sentiment from very depressed levels. The state of European growth should gradually emerge from 'recession' to 'anemic'. 3/
US data
are equally messy, but here too things look slightly better beneath the surface. On the negative side, durable goods orders have now collapsed to recessionary levels, and hiring remains very weak. A closer look, however…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01181637.pdf
EFTA01170100
Dataset 9
2011-10-17
4p
1,912w
Subject:
J.P. Morgan Eye on the Market 10/17/2011: The Tell-Tale Heart
From:
US GIO <MMIll=a>
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
…png; image005.png Eye on the Market, October 17, 2011 Topic: Do U.S. millionaires, as a group, really pay lower tax rates than their receptionists? Recent
US data
(payrolls, retail and vehicle sales, manufacturing surveys) have come in a bit better than expected (see p2); we'll know more when we get October business and employment reports in early November. We maintain the view that the US will avoid a recession, despite substantial austerity in 2012. As for Europe…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01170100.pdf
EFTA01172052
Dataset 9
2011-12-05
5p
2,871w
Subject:
J.P. Morgan Eye on the Market: European Central Bonanza
From:
US GIO czi
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
… image015.png; image017.png; image018.png Eye on the Market, December 5, 2011 (attached PDF easier to read) Topics: Fig leaves preceding the ECB bonanza, better
US data
, and the US residential housing outlook (still flat/down) This will be brief, since there's only so much we will know before the EU summit on December 9th. As shown in the first chart, Europe needs an alternative to traditional debt markets before Q1 2012, when Italy's sovereign borrowing needs…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01172052.pdf
EFTA01181186
Dataset 9
2012-09-16
4p
2,100w
Subject:
J.P. Morgan Macro Skinny: when the S&P becomes a policy tool
From:
US GIO
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
…The decision to embark on `open ended' QE3I will likely make this divergence even greater in the coming years. At the risk of making our role a economists obsolete, we would argue that
US data
are now much less relevant for the stock market because the stock market itself is now used as a policy too12. By implication, stock prices will likely normalize faster than growth. 2/ The Bernanke Fed is betting on the existence of wealth effects: as stock…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01181186.pdf
EFTA00933056
Dataset 9
2012-04-08
4p
2,565w
Subject:
The J.P. Morgan View: How bad a correction?
From:
US GIO <
[email protected]
>
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
…have not really changed. This should limit a position squaring correction in equities to 5-7%. We maintain O2 overweights in credit and equities. • Economics — Disappointing US Payrolls eliminate upside risk on US growth but would need to be repeated across a wide set of
US data
to make us lower growth projections and forecast QE3. • Fixed Income — With still no QE3 in our forecast, we retain a 2.5% 10--year UST forecast for mid year, and stay short…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00933056.pdf
EFTA01181941
Dataset 9
2012-11-04
2p
730w
Subject:
JPM View 11.02.2012
From:
US GIG
To:
Undisclosed recipients::
…▪ S•cceows cie equities and credit over the next few months. and mildly negative for bonds. but L•0 Evans can't be confident on whether this rally happens before or after the New Year. µ4S03 77C.2537 • This week's
US data
flow, punctuated by todays payrolls report. were a bit **via avanstornawn OCA, better than hoped moving ow tracking exercise for Q3 to 2.4%, versus the 2% ▪ mason season Oa flat government estimate released last…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01181941.pdf
EFTA01169774
Dataset 9
2011-10-07
2p
685w
Subject:
WPM View 10.07.2011
From:
US GIO < >
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
…to fiscal policy. Monetary is done. Jan Loeysc • Emmanuel — Cnoroh forecasts reduced for UK.EM Asia. and Latin America. bringing 2012 EM growth down by 0.2%.
US data
are tracking a soft growth picrun, but one that is not falling into recession at the moment. John Normand • Pert folio strategy— Monetary policy has provided great help to the world economy but is now neatly done. Fiscal and regulatory policy makers have done mote damage than good, by creating huge…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01169774.pdf
EFTA01385919
Dataset 10
2015-03-27
1p
565w
…Research Analyst There are reasonable risk reward trades that we like including using bullish rate views to buy cheap risk on protection e.g. on SPX. We also for choice rather receive the market than pay it based on term premium staying very negative (Europe) but also the risk of some softer
US data
. This would Oanni Souks favor curve caps and some relief steepening. Volatility should be higher in Research Analyst the front end relative to the back end…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01385919.pdf
EFTA01385914
Dataset 10
2015-03-27
1p
479w
…3M forward horizon. .4ft: • There are reasonable risk reward trades that we like including using bullish Research Analyst rate views to buy cheap risk on protection e.g. on SPX. We also for choice rather receive the market than pay it based on term premium staying very negative (Europe) but also the risk of some softer
US data
. This would favor curve caps and some relief steepening. Volatility should be higher in the front end relative to the back end…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01385914.pdf
EFTA01123162
Dataset 9
2015-03-27
68p
30,795w
…to say a 3M forward horizon. Alex Lo • There are reasonable risk reward trades that we like including using bullish rate views to buy cheap risk on protection e.g. on SPX. We also for choice rather receive the market than pay it based on term premium staying very negative (Europe) but also the risk of some softer
US data
. This would favor curve caps and some relief steepening. Volatility should be higher in Stuart Sparks the front end relative…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01123162.pdf
EFTA01742027
Dataset 10
2016-05-09
4p
1,493w
Subject:
Trade Idea - Short Sterling
From:
"Barrett, Paul S"
To:
Brad Wechsler
…inflation • Other Events: Over the coming 50 days, campaign effectiveness will likely have more of an impact on the vote, especially as officials' purdah' from late May will exclude direct involvement by the government. RISK(S) • Continued soft
US data
, specifically on the labor front • Global risk sentiment improvement and continued strong rally in equities • "Remain" momentum for referendum picks up strongly. CHART(S): GBPUSD Historical Price EFTA_R1_00032349 EFTA01742027 Source: Bloomberg, as of 05/03/16 Appendix: Take…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01742027.pdf
EFTA00201467
Dataset 9
2004-05-13
6p
4,660w
…May 11, 2004 Current Monthly Charges Subscriber Adjustments 0.00 Monthly Service 0.00 Monthly Usage 16.47 Charges 21.13 Credits 0.00 Taxes, Surcharges & Regulatory Fees 12.09 Total Current Monthly Charges DUE UPON RECEIPT 49.69 TOTAL CREDIT AMOUNT -51.73 CREDIT BALANCE - DO NOT PAY NO DOMESTIC
US DATA
ROAMING CHARGES: AS OF APRIL 18, WE HAVE ELIMINATED ALL DOMESTIC
US DATA
ROAMING CHARGES ON ANY MMODE, MOBILE INTERNET DATA PLAN OR BLACKBERRY ACCESS PLAN. THIS…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00201467.pdf
EFTA01172027
Dataset 9
8p
6,086w
…burns is lbw Cuerzil Index. US HG. NY. DASIG rd EM On are AV Sec, EM a is ELIA. in S. • Stronger
US data
this week — especially ISM — create more confidence that www.morganmarkets.com The certifying analyst is indicated by an AC. See page 7 for analyst certification and important legal and regulatory disclosures. EFTA01172027 Global Asset Allocation The J.P. Morgan View J.P.Morgan imminent recession risks are fading. The same cannot be said, though, for the …
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01172027.pdf
EFTA01169776
Dataset 9
8p
5,895w
…fiscal policy. Monetary is done. Jan LoeysAC • Economics —Growth forecasts reduced for UK, EM Asia, and Latin America, bringing 2012 EM growth down by 0.2%.
US data
are tracking a soft growth picture, but one that is not falling into recession at the moment. John Normand • Portfolio strategy — Monetary policy has provided great help to the world economy but is now nearly done. Fiscal and regulatory policy makers have done more damage than good, by creating huge uncertainty. We…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01169776.pdf
EFTA01462241
Dataset 10
1p
471w
With
US data
continuing to firm, the market is recalibrating when the Fed will deliver hikes - earlier rather than later On the other hand, given the ECB's stated determination to spur inflation in the Eurozone, full-blown QE looks likely next year This chart shows the correlation between EURUSD and the spread between EUR and us interest rates (yellow) (Embedded image moved to file: pic11188.gif) Source: Bloomberg 25-Sep-2014 EURINR lower as a combined play on continued…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01462241.pdf
EFTA01334722
Dataset 10
2021-09-30
17p
14,247w
…ended on May 02, 2004 Current Monthly Charges Subscriber Adjustments 0.00 Monthly Service 186.68 Monthly Usage 168.91 Charges 0.00 Credits -12.99 Taxes. Surcharges & Regulatory Tees 60.96 Total Current Monthly Charges DUE UPON RECEIPT 403.56 TOTAL AMOUNT DUE 403.56 NO DOMESTIC
US DATA
ROAMING CHARGES: AS OF APRIL 18. WE HAVE ELIMINATED ALL DOMESTIC
US DATA
ROAMING CHARGES ON ANY MMODE. MOBILE INTERNET DATA PLAN OR BLACKBERRY ACCESS PLAN. THIS MEANS YOU CAN…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01334722.pdf
EFTA01455668
Dataset 10
1p
391w
EURUSD has broken below 1.28 during the last 24 hours with
uS data
continuing to firm, the market is recalibrating when the Fed will deliver hikes - earlier rather than later On the other hand, given the KB's stated determination to spur inflation in the Eurozone, full-blown QE looks likely next year This chart shows the correlation between EURUSD and the spread between EUR and uS interest rates (yellow) (Embedded image moved to file: pic10860.gif) Source: Bloomberg…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01455668.pdf
EFTA01462250
Dataset 10
2013-09-25
1p
244w
• EURUSD has broken below 1.28 during the last 24 hours • With
US data
continuing to firm, the market is recalibrating when the Fed will deliver hikes - earlier rather than later • On the other hand, given the ECB's stated determination to spur inflation in the Eurozone, full-blown QE looks likely next year This chart shows the correlation between EURUSD and the spread between EUR and US interest rates ( ellow) EUR BGN Curnc} 95) Save As 96) Actions • 97…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01462250.pdf
EFTA01449246
Dataset 10
2013-05-16
1p
570w
16 May 2013 FX Blueprint: Dashing Buck Theme P4: Solid Bloc • The key
US data
suggest CAD's external backdrop Figure 1: Signals from US housing and labour market remains supportive, as do Canada's commodity support CAD. prices, and fears on Canadian housing are likely overdone. We maintain our recently entered CAD7M .20.4...2-sk 4.116) CAD/JPY long. Having recently exited our long-held It bullish AUD/CAD and NZD/CAD views from our —Cenbewel Menage…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01449246.pdf
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