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EFTA01615404
Dataset 10
5p
413w
…! 12:10:31 am Its like the worlds fair . I cant decide which pavilion to visit . All interesting in their own way. 12:13:56 am The internet has caused
Regression
to the mean . ( no pun ) 12:14:56 am Steve Bannon LOL SB 1211913S am EFTA01615407 Is Kwok in next week? Are you/ ? Saudi.turkey driving mid easterners wild 01:46:42 pm Steve Bannon Do you think Nikki has re put on her knee pads 04:20:25…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01615404.pdf
EFTA01458684
Dataset 10
1p
77w
Regression
based fairialue (Chart 17). 3%- 2% ■ Rich/Cheap (+/-) 1% 0% • III" -1% -2% Percentage deviation of current spot from fitted value based on a 3-year
regression
of the currency against -3% local equities, local 10Y bonds, S&P, 10Y USTs, USD 711/I, Oil and Sovereign CDS (where available) -4% IDR KRW PHP TWD CNY SGD INR MYR THB Source: Bloomberg Finance LP CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0118703 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458684.pdf
EFTA01381403
Dataset 10
1p
77w
Regression
based fairialue (Chart 17). 3%- 2% ■ Rich/Cheap (+/-) 1% 0% • III" -1% -2% Percentage deviation of current spot from fitted value based on a 3-year
regression
of the currency against -3% local equities, local 10Y bonds, S&P, 10Y USTs, USD 711/I, Oil and Sovereign CDS (where available) -4% IDR KRW PHP TWD CNY SGD INR MYR THB Source: Bloomberg Finance LP CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0080353 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01381403.pdf
EFTA01461071
Dataset 10
1p
141w
'Figure 9: illustrative
regression
analysis 180% NIP as % of GCP =08382 • ••• .• 130% • • .• •t • • • . 80% Preacted NIP: 32% — Gap in current EMU 30% NIP -20% Current account as %of GDP -120% -10% -5% 5% ID% 15% 20% Laitye D.asrhe Rank 14vor (Figure 12: NIIP will not stabilize for years depending on size of Euroglut con 4.000 Curse ex* 7' PrOJOMS0 NM, eta my • bassi ine scenar• Okrew• 3,000 2.000 coMO ?yet 1.003 -1.000 1999 3002…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01461071.pdf
EFTA01462246
Dataset 10
2013-09-24
1p
211w
GRAB <Menu> to Return Buy ,SPXSKEW U Inc) Or Sell SPX 3M 100 V0L
Regression
Analysiss" Last Price Last Price 09/24/2013 n - 09/24/2014 n 6M YTD 1Y 2Y Ft Max Daily • -3
REGRESSION
STATISTICS V=-0.059X-4.381 Linear Raw BETA -0.059 • ALPHA(Intercept) -4.381 -4 — ! - RA2(Correlation"2) 0.017 _ 4:44 ***r. R(Correlation) -0.131 • OtiiSs* Std Dev of Error 0.534 ,i = .SPXSKEW U Index 4 4r 4…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01462246.pdf
EFTA01447709
Dataset 10
2013-09-24
1p
245w
GRAB <Menu> to Return Buy . .SPxsi- E.,. ' Ind ltirfer
Regression
Analysiss" dd Last Price :Xt. Data Field 09/24/2013 09/24/2014 IP" !ill 6M YTD l• 2Y Fe Max Daily • -3
REGRESSION
STATISTICS V=-0.059X-4.381 Linear Raw BETA -0.059 •s ALPHA(Intercept) -4.381 RA2(CorrelationA2) 0.017 -4 — _ wt.:* - a ter. R(Correlation) -0.131 • Std Dev of Error 0.534 ■ 44° •• 4. ••-"Ct• i. ♦ * • Std Error of ALPHA 0.359…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01447709.pdf
EFTA01447718
Dataset 10
2013-09-24
1p
242w
GRAB <Menu> to Return Buy . .SPxsi- E.,. ' Ind ltirfer
Regression
Analysiss" dd Last Price :Xt. Data Field 09/24/2013 09/24/2014 !ill 611 YTD lY 2Y Fe Max Daily • -3
REGRESSION
STATISTICS V=-0.059X-4.381 Linear Raw BETA -0.059 •s ALPHA(Intercept) -4.381 RA2(CorrelationA2) 0.017 -4 — _ wt.:* - a ter. R(Correlation) -0.131 • Std Dev of Error 0.534 ■ 44° •• 4. ••-"Ct• * • Std Error of ALPHA 0.359 4, .r. • s…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01447718.pdf
EFTA01455671
Dataset 10
2013-09-24
1p
245w
GRAB <Menu> to Return Buy . .SPxsi- E.,. ' Ind ltirfer
Regression
Analysiss" dd Last Price :Xt. Data Field 09/24/2013 09/24/2014 IP" !ill 6M YTD l• 2Y Fe Max Daily • -3
REGRESSION
STATISTICS V=-0.059X-4.381 Linear Raw BETA -0.059 •s ALPHA(Intercept) -4.381 RA2(CorrelationA2) 0.017 -4 — _ wt.:* - a ter. R(Correlation) -0.131 • Std Dev of Error 0.534 ■ 44° •• 4. ••-"Ct• i. ♦ * • Std Error of ALPHA 0.359…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01455671.pdf
EFTA01385951
Dataset 10
2015-03-27
1p
486w
27 March 2015 US Fixed Income Weekly Interpreting tradable implications and qualifications Our model is based on a
regression
of high-LTV and loan balance pay-ups on a small set of variables: • Refinance incentive: measured as the gross WAC on the TBA deliverable for a given period less the prevailing mortgage rate. This variable captures the price premium in the corresponding TBA, increased prepay risk in the TBA, and changes in the fair value of the dollar roll. As…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01385951.pdf
EFTA01908651
Dataset 10
2013-01-09
1p
149w
Subject:
Re:
From:
Michael S BUCHHOLTZ
To:
Jeffrey Epsteinueevacationagmail.comj
To: Jeffrey Epsteinueevacationagmail.comj From: Michael S BUCHHOLTZ Sent Wed 1/9/2013 12:06:10 AM Subject: Re: Scan results were great, significant
regression
of disease. Unfortunately he still feels lousy so now we have to Focus on symptom management/ quality of life issues. Sent from my iPhone On Jan 8, 2013, at 6:43 PM, Jeffrey Epstein
[email protected]
> wrote: what do we know? *t*t*t*t*t*t*t*****t*t*t*t*t*t…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01908651.pdf
EFTA01458357
Dataset 10
1p
162w
70 - 65 -‹ 60 55 - 50 45 40 35 - 30 - 25 -2.5 - I 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 USDRU6 Spot, Ihs — 'Stretch' (Standardized residual of spot vs 200dma). rhs 2) Financial fair value (based on a
regression
of spot on S&P, VIX, Crude, CRII, US 10y, DX Y, carry): According to our short term `financial fair value' metric, EM FX is cheap almost across the board, with ZAR being the the most undervalued currency. TRY is also cheap…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458357.pdf
EFTA01462252
Dataset 10
2013-09-24
1p
265w
…Buy P.. :I I 1— OL
Regression
Analysis a Rrlog pi t.ar Price 09/24/2013 09/24/2014 El Corr. El =NM OMR Local CCV
REGRESSION
STATISTICS Y=-0.059X-4.381 Linear Raw BETA -0.059 ALPHA(Intercept) •4.301 Fr2(Correlation^2) 0.017 R(Correlation) -0.131 Std Bev of Ener 0,534 Y ..SPXSKEW U Index SW Error of ALPHA 0.359 SW Error of BETA 0.020 t -Test •2.096 a • tip, Significance…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01462252.pdf
EFTA01458349
Dataset 10
1p
172w
70 - 12.5 65 - - 10.0 60 - 55 - 7.5 50 - - 5.0 45 - 40 2.5 35 - 0.0 30 - 25 - -2.5 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 - USDRUG Spot. Ins —Stretch' (Standardized residual of spot vs 200dma). rhs 2) Financial fair value (based on a
regression
of spot on S&P, VIX, Crude, CRII, US 10y, DX Y, carry): According to our short term `financial fair value' metric, EM FX is cheap almost across the board, with…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458349.pdf
EFTA02029099
Dataset 10
2013-01-09
1p
150w
Subject:
Re:
From:
Michael S BUCHHOLTZ
To:
[email protected]
[jeevacation©gmail.com]; Jeffrey Epstein[eeyacation©gmail.corn]
To:
[email protected]
[jeevacation©gmail.com]; Jeffrey Epstein[eeyacation©gmail.corn] From: Michael S BUCHHOLTZ Sent Wed 1/9/2013 12:06:10 AM Subject: Re: Scan results were great, significant
regression
of disease. Unfortunately he still feels lousy so now we have to Focus on symptom management/ quality of life issues. Sent from my iPhone On Jan 8, 2013, at 6:43 PM, Jeffrey Epstein
[email protected]
> wrote: what do we know? *t*t*t*t*t*t*t…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA02029099.pdf
EFTA01458559
Dataset 10
2015-10-02
1p
495w
2 October 2015 Global Economic Perspectives: A hard landing in China? The NBS survey in O2 had an average composite index of 52.0, which was consistent with a forecast GDP growth rate of 6.7% (the point on the
regression
line in Figure 9). In O3, this survey had an average composite index of 52.1, essentially unchanged as depicted in Figure 6. Somewhere between 6.7% and 7.0% for Q3 GDP growth seems a reasonable expectation. The…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458559.pdf
EFTA02390281
Dataset 11
2015-11-01
1p
193w
Subject:
RE:
From:
Noam Chomsky
To:
Jeffrey E.
From: Noam Chomsky Sent: Sunday, November 1, 2015 3:43 AM To: Jeffrey E. Subject: RE: Some progress, some
regression
. But there's light at the end of the tunnel, and it shouldn't be too far away. Open questions abound. The problem is finding ones that are within possible reach and are not so technical that larger consequences are obscure. Hilbert could do it after many years of substantial progress in a well-defined area. I don't know…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2011/EFTA02390281.pdf
EFTA00697971
Dataset 9
2015-11-01
1p
193w
Subject:
RE:
From:
Noam Chomsky
To:
"Jeffrey E." <
[email protected]
>
From: Noam Chomsky To: "Jeffrey E." <jeevacation®gmail.com> Subject: RE: Date: Sun, 01 Nov 2015 03:43:11 +0000 Some progress, some
regression
. But there's light at the end of the tunnel, and it shouldn't be too far away. Open questions abound. The problem is finding ones that are within possible reach and are not so technical that larger consequences are obscure. Hilbert could do it after many years of substantial progress in a well-defined area. I…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00697971.pdf
EFTA00752106
Dataset 9
2010-05-27
1p
276w
Subject:
Dividends/Eurostoxx 50 index correlation
From:
Jeffrey M Matusow
To:
Jeevacation
From: Jeffrey M Matusow To: Jeevacation Subject: Dividends/Eurostoxx 50 index correlation Date: Thu, 27 May 2010 20:06:34 +0000 Attachments: sg2010052756988.gie sg2010052756952.git sg2010052756988(1).gif Jeffrey, Attached is a
regression
analysis of the dividend futures to the Eurostoxx 50 index from June-08 to today. The first chart is 2011 (DEDZ1) and the second is 2012 (DEDZ2). For both years the beta to the index is approx. 66%, suggesting a hedge ratio of 1.5x the…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00752106.pdf
EFTA01373771
Dataset 10
1995-01-03
1p
306w
…off -0.5% •
Regression
on positive monthly change in 30y UST rates since -1.0% 1995 shows that 30yr MMD historically tends to move at about etle. de. -1.5% 67.5% of 30yr UST yield movements o -2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 50% 6.0% 70% 8.0% 30y UST Yields Positive MoM Change in 30y UST vs. MMDP) Historical Statistics using UST Sell-off Months(2)
Regression
: AMMD = 67.5% • AUST Months of UST…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01373771.pdf
EFTA01458334
Dataset 10
1p
197w
…price action is also stretched, but we are still far below the `stretch' levels we have seen in the recent past. 70 - 12.5 65 - - 10.0 60- 55 - 7.5 50 - 5.D 45 40 wi 2.5 35 - - 0.0 30 - Y \ 25 - /- -2.5 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 - USDRUB Spot, Ihs —'Stretch' (Standardized residual of spot vs 200dma), rhs 2) Financial fair value (based on a
regression
of spot on S&P, V1X, Crude, CRB…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458334.pdf
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