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Corpus: 1990-03-17 – 2025-12-01
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EFTA01458016
Dataset 10
1p
515w
…3% GDP and employment figures at their disposal. and the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen -9 bps. Yesterday's rebound in Q2 GDP (+2.3%
QoQ
) and The eye-popping stat was the intra-month "bear upward revision to Q1 GDP (from -0.2% to 0.6% market" (fall of more than 20%) decline in oil.
QoQ
) is welcome news for the Fed and increases Moving into August, markets should remain range the likelihood of a September rate hike…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458016.pdf
EFTA01457975
Dataset 10
1p
515w
…3% GDP and employment figures at their disposal. and the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen -9 bps. Yesterday's rebound in Q2 GDP (+2.3%
QoQ
) and The eye-popping stat was the intra-month "bear upward revision to Q1 GDP (from -0.2% to 0.6% market" (fall of more than 20%) decline in oil.
QoQ
) is welcome news for the Fed and increases Moving into August, markets should remain range the likelihood of a September rate hike…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01457975.pdf
EFTA01458641
Dataset 10
1p
613w
…U.S. Wealth Management CIO and Chief Investment Strategist od o " ';L A I '.•(J The third quarter of 2015 was dominated by weak The disappointing September jobs report (+142K jobs global trade and deteriorating commodity prices (DJ created) will likely continue to fuel the debate over the Commodity Index —14.5%
QoQ
) that clouded the timing of the Fed's first rate hike. With two global growth outlook, especially for the emerging consecutive months of below 150K jobs being…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458641.pdf
EFTA01097864
Dataset 9
2015-02-06
15p
7,276w
…latest indicators have attested to the weak economic performance at the We forecast zero growth for end of 2014. Industrial production declined 2.8% MoM in December, 1.6% 2014
QoQ
in 4Q14 and 3.2% in 2014. Other indicators have remained quite weak too, especially consumer and business confidence in most sectors of the economy. We believe that 4Q14 GDP fell 0.1%
QoQ
. Therefore, we have lowered our 2014 growth forecast to zero from 0.1%. For 2015…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01097864.pdf
EFTA01206033
Dataset 9
2015-08-14
6p
2,049w
Subject:
An example Taiwan 2Q GDP -6.5%; exports fell 8.32%
From:
"Barrett, Paul S"
To:
Brad Wechsler
…EFTA01206033 kTWNGDPQ U 2.7378 Description taiwan gdp
qoq
saar As of 8/14/2015 Owner DANIEL PERLMAN 96) Actions - 97) Edit - G 2871 - taiwan gdp
qoq
saar 03/31/2015 ::) Compare Local CCY p +, 1► 10 30 1M 6M YTO lY 5Y Max Quarterly • Traci r Wow. • Mews 3, Security/Study Pa CG 0 . 20an Ill.morApoulm...“mpAnznn , 1191 Taiwan: Real GDP
QoQ
% (saar) 30 20 010 2015 Q2 GDP .10 -6.56%
QoQ
saar 8110 '801'899'•M…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01206033.pdf
EFTA01136756
Dataset 9
2013-04-01
6p
3,384w
Subject:
Eye on the Market, April 1, 2013: US vs EU Roulette
From:
US MO <
[email protected]
>
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
…of Grey ($2.5 trillion of US Treasury and Agency purchases and counting, measured in 10-year equivalents). We expect GDP growth of —2.5% by the end of the year. US household debt service Percent of consumers Increasing debt US vs. European employment Percentof disposable income balances (ex-student loans) Percent change,
QoQ
, saar 14.0% 4% 13.5% 44% •otyv 13.0% • 40% - 12.5% t ia. 12.0% 36% - 11.5% 32% • 11.0% 10.5% 28% . . . …
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01136756.pdf
EFTA01367357
Dataset 10
2015-05-31
1p
204w
31 May 2015 Integrated Oil US Integrated Oils [Figure 65: Correlation of
QoQ
Changes in Product Demand and Implied Crude Inventory Builds I \ ,--\, i \ 7\ 1 A 4# 41141° +f"lied' ft' a it as ---,, -\,, 1‘ ! ‘ i' i \ .., Y San', dissent Se* ?EA Non-OPEC Supply Disappointment There are clearly risks to this outlook, as Non-OPEC supply has historically disappointed (see figure below), but there is no avoiding the fact that the outlook for Non-OPEC supply is more…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01367357.pdf
EFTA01459618
Dataset 10
2016-02-05
1p
521w
5 February 2016 Focus Europe: Dark clouds, no storm yet The euro area composite PMI is in line with euro area GDP growth of around +0.4%
qoq
as we move into 2016, consistent with our expectation for O1 (Figure 4). The surveys are broadly in line with our Q1 expectations across the EMU4 countries, with the exception of the weak French PMI, although the French INSEE survey is more positive (see below for more details). iFigure 01 2015 GDP…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459618.pdf
EFTA01459720
Dataset 10
2016-02-05
1p
521w
5 February 2016 Focus Europe: Dark clouds, no storm yet The euro area composite PMI is in line with euro area GDP growth of around +0.4%
qoq
as we move into 2016, consistent with our expectation for O1 (Figure 4). The surveys are broadly in line with our Q1 expectations across the EMU4 countries, with the exception of the weak French PMI, although the French INSEE survey is more positive (see below for more details). iFigure 01 2015 GDP…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459720.pdf
EFTA01459623
Dataset 10
2016-02-05
1p
407w
…Germany and Italy. SIREN-Momentum continues to point to high 0.4%
qoq
for euro-area Q4 GDP. Surveys point to 0.5% while hard data are less optimistic. Our forecast for O4 GDP growth is more modest at 0.35%
qoq
. Hard data appear to justify our caution. We expect both German and Italian GDP to grow 0.3%
qoq
in Q4-15. • December Industrial production across euro-area countries will be the last set of 04-15 hard…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459623.pdf
EFTA01459721
Dataset 10
2016-02-05
1p
551w
…high respectively. One month's worth of opposite moves is et) too little on which to draw firm conclusions but it does appear that the outperformance of the services sector thanks to a very strong domestic recovery is coming to an end (Figure 6). co 45 We expect a normalization of Spanish GDP growth in 2016 from the very at, impressive +0.9%
qoq
seen on average during 2015. The largest reasons for this are the credit dynamics. With the…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459721.pdf
EFTA01459729
Dataset 10
2016-02-05
1p
498w
…than release dates With the advanced estimate of Q4-15 GDP scheduled for next week. helps to Id spot turning points and SIREN-Momentum continues to point to high 0.4%
qoq
for euro O4 GDP. more generally better capture current Surveys point to 0.5% while hard data are less optimistic. Our forecast for dynamics O4 GDP growth is relatively more modest at 0.35%
qoq
. Hard data appear to justify our caution. While SIREN-Surprise for O4 continues…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459729.pdf
EFTA01385511
Dataset 10
1p
349w
…6.4% 7.6% driven by the economic recovery. - NIl should rise at a c4% CAGR for 18-19E driven by stronger loan growth (we expect 10%112% in 18E/19E). Santander has been the most active in increasing lending, being the only Brazilian bank posting both YoY and
QoQ
growth. -6.8% - The economic recovery should help reduce cost of risk and hence provisions. We forecast a 59bps fall in the cost of risk through to 2019. 3016 4Q16 …
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01385511.pdf
EFTA02455442
Dataset 11
2016-08-09
4p
993w
Subject:
Re: MEGA AM: Risk Panty Scenario Tool
From:
jeffrey E. <
[email protected]
>
To:
Ens, Amanda
…Re: MEGA AM: Risk Panty Scenario Tool No more general emails please On Tuesday, 9 Augus= 2016, Ens, Amanda < <mailto: > wrote: <=body> <=pan style="font-size:10.0ptfont-family:"Verdana","sans-s=rir>Summary: *=A0 We expect US nonfarm productiv=ty to increase 0.6%
qoq
saar, up from -0.6% in 1=. Japan: After a decent JGB auction, if yields decline further in the super long secto=, domestic investors seeking positive yields could lose the last destinati=n for their demand.…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2011/EFTA02455442.pdf
EFTA00821734
Dataset 9
2016-08-09
2p
1,032w
Subject:
MEGA AM: Risk Parity Scenario Tool
From:
'Ens, Amanda"
To:
"Jeffrey
[email protected]
>
…;cid:389 17479 Summary: We expect US nonfarm productivity to increase 0.6%
qoq
saar, up from -0.6% in 1Q. Japan: After a decent JGB auction jLyieldc decline further in the super long sector domestic investors cooking-positive yields could loco the last destination for their demand Global Equitaalatifity_Insights• Last week's sharp cell-off in JG.Rc renewed concerns of forced spillway risk panty funds We provide a simple scenario tool. UK: GBP traded below 1.3000…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00821734.pdf
EFTA01265485
Dataset 10
2020-08-04
1p
134w
…9:50:21-UTC Alternate e-Mail(s): gmaxl[ Google Account ID: 602199682141 Last Logins: 2016/10/21-22:56:00-UTC, 2016/10/20-15:55:15-UTC, 2016/10/19-22:52:46-UTC No user IP logs data. 41414144141414414141441# * Google Confidential and Proprietary * ##44###44###44#### SDNY_GM_00004771 file:///Usaloj.goy/...Remms/Google%20(produced)%
QoQ
ia - 19-1)%.EN11101 4o 1Lellmax.com.AccouraInfo.mt[8/4/2020 3:18:23 PM] EFTA_001 8844 EFTA01265485
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01265485.pdf
EFTA01473332
Dataset 10
2015-05-06
23p
4,543w
…The shift will reduce 2Q volumes expectations (198-203 Mboe/d vs. Street 207), but increase and flatten 2H volumes (-200 Mboe/d). Also look for impact of shift on ability to accelerate in 2H15. EFTA01473332 II Highgrading and the Production Outlook: Although operational noise on the quarter obscured underlying operations somewhat (Permian production --4 Mboe/d
QoQ
), impacted by weather (3 Mboe/d), ethane rejection (5 Mobe/d), production of 194 Mboe/d still hit the guidance range (192…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01473332.pdf
EFTA01457567
Dataset 10
2015-05-06
1p
625w
…but include a greater than expected production growth rate, meanwhile increase and flatten 2H volumes (-200 Mboe/d). Also look for impact of downside risks include operational shift on ability to accelerate in 2H15. missteps which will adversely affect Highgrading and the Production Outlook: Although operational noise on production. the quarter obscured underlying operations somewhat (Permian production --4 Mboe/d
QoQ
), impacted by weather (3 Mboe/d), ethane rejection (5 Mobe/d), production of 194 Mboe/d still hit the…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01457567.pdf
EFTA00680703
Dataset 9
2016-10-26
2p
707w
Subject:
Fwd: MS Note - Goldman Sachs (GS): Trading Back in Force
From:
Richard Kahn
To:
"Jeffrey E." <jeevacationggmail.com>
…YoY. Compensation accrual was reduced somewhat to the benefit of profitability while capital/liquidity remained strong. The new consumer finance unit attracted some attention though we expect Marcus to be inconsequential for results in the near term. Capital was slightly improved
QoQ
. We continue to view GS as a strong credit. Relative Value Senior: GS benchmark senior 10 year paper trades 5-7 bp behind MS, C and BAC senior debt and about 15 bp wider than JPM and WFC…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00680703.pdf
EFTA01071561
Dataset 9
2011-11-01
5p
3,613w
…On the latter point, we think we are not there yet; 2012 looks like another year in which macro will trump micro, as it has for the last 3 years. 19709 post-recovery equity market wilderness Consumers spend by drawing down savings (again) S&P level (Blue) Germany - DAX level (Brown)
QoQ
change, real, annualized, sa 180 r I 800 12% - 160 I Period of extreme monetary I 10% - I and fiscal uncertainty 700 8% - Consumption 140 6% - 120 600…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01071561.pdf
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