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Corpus: 1990-03-17 – 2025-12-01
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EFTA01790926
Dataset 10
2011-02-01
1p
112w
Subject:
Greek Govies
From:
Barrett, Paul S
To:
Epstein, Jeffrey (
[email protected]
)
…Sent: Tuesday, February 1, 2011 4:45 PM To: Epstein, Jeffrey (
[email protected]
) Subject: Greek Govies <=ody lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple> Hi Jeffrey What do you think about the idea of buying Gre=k govies (2018 at 67.75). If the
EFSF
is expanded then we expect the p=ripheral debt to rally. At current prices the bonds yield 11.20%. <=pan style=lont-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif">&=bsp; Paul <1=> Paul Barrett, CFA Managing Director Global…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01790926.pdf
EFTA01071164
Dataset 9
2011-10-24
3p
2,930w
…as well, but with a kinder, gentler loss percentage assumption. Direct first-loss guarantees from the
EFSF
may run afoul of Article 125 of the Lisbon Treaty which prohibits member states from being liable for commitments of other states. There are viable alternatives that get to the same place: a country could borrow from the
EFSF
and place borrowed funds into escrow (collateralizing the guarantee), or purchase zero coupon bonds. [d] With 84% debt to GDP (gross government debt), a…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01071164.pdf
EFTA02694031
Dataset 11
2011-09-25
4p
2,186w
…Services Research, December 2002 "The Eurozone debt crisis: is this a bankingproblem?", Jordi Gual, iESE Business School, September 2011 NPL = Non-performing loan ECB = European Central Bank
EFSF
= European Financial Stability Facility The material containedherein is intended as a general market commentary. Opinions expressed herein are those ofMichael Conbalect and may differfrom those ofother JP. Morgan employees and affiliates. This information in no war constitutesIP. Morgan research and should not be treated as such. Further. the ViCWS…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2011/EFTA02694031.pdf
EFTA01169569
Dataset 9
2011-10-06
3p
1,573w
Subject:
J.P. Morgan Eye on the Market - Dexia and the endgame in Europe
From:
US GIO
To:
Undisclosed recipients:;
…a plan, since it's not clear that there would be enough depth/demand in the EFTA01169569 market for these bonds, given their unorthodox nature and the fact that it only pushes the problem out one year. However, we discussed this idea with some sovereign wealth funds and money managers; there may be some interest at 2%-3% over
EFSF
borrowing spreads. We'll see; if Italy ever restructured, 20% loss protection would not be nearly enough. ** Greece defaults, of…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01169569.pdf
EFTA01164570
Dataset 9
2011-05-10
3p
1,696w
…since Greece is nowhere Snakes and Ladders (cDlodKla Ka; ZKaAcc) all figures in Euros IL '0 'Voluntary' exchange defers Return To the problem to another day, '' Private Debt avoids bank writedowns with At 255 bn of borrowing capacity, the
EFSF
is currently only big enough to fund Most Greek bonds subject to Greek law do not contain 'Collective Action Clauses' Markets in the approval of EU regulators, bailouts for Portugal, Greece 2012-2013 but with no relief to Greece's…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01164570.pdf
EFTA01848428
Dataset 10
2011-10-29
3p
890w
Subject:
FW: China and the Euro Rescue
From:
Boris Nikolic
To:
Jeffrey epstein
[email protected]
)fjeffrey epstein (ieevacation6gmail.com)J:
…Norway says that: Norway, however, whose $572 billion oil fund is Europe's biggest investor in equities, said it had less than 100 million euros in
EFSF
investments and would not invest in any euro zone rescue schemes that had elements of aid in them. Finally, the loan could even be denominated in appreciating Chinese currency not Euros. RobinBHardingRobin Harding No idea could be more stupid - or more symptomatic of decline - than Europe borrowing from China in renminbi. http://www…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01848428.pdf
EFTA02694020
Dataset 11
2011-09-25
4p
2,186w
…Services Research, December 2002 "The Eurozone debt crisis: is this a bankingproblem?", Jordi Gual, iESE Business School, September 2011 NPL = Non-performing loan ECB = European Central Bank
EFSF
= European Financial Stability Facility The material containedherein is intended as a general market commentary. Opinions expressed herein are those ofMichael Conbalect and may differfrom those ofother JP. Morgan employees and affiliates. This information in no war constitutesIP. Morgan research and should not be treated as such. Further. the ViCWS…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2011/EFTA02694020.pdf
EFTA01070765
Dataset 9
2011-09-21
6p
3,801w
…would underperform, since policymalcers would only react after a market riot. Now there has been one, and the range of outcomes is hard to predict (default, ECB debt monetization, turning
EFSF
into a bank to quintuple its buying power, federalization through Eurobonds or just a massive muddle-through). We have no idea if, how or when markets will ever look at Italy the same way again (see Appendix). We still maintain large underweights to Europe given the uncertainties, and our…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01070765.pdf
EFTA01070403
Dataset 9
2011-08-02
4p
3,093w
…in the early 1990s Maturing debt and interest due in the next 12 months Limited capacity at the European Liquidity Hospital Percenlol GDP Officio sector lending capacity vs sovereign funding needs (inducing 30% deficits) through 2013 - Billions,EUR In the Hospital 1.800 Not in the Hospital 'SOO prim 1.400 1,200 Italy 1,000 Greece package 800 1::;EFSM 600 IMF Spain Spain 400 200
EFSF
Total lending Greece. Plus Spain Plus Italy and 00/ capacity portug al…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01070403.pdf
EFTA01169572
Dataset 9
3p
1,908w
…a plan, since it's not clear that there would be enough depth/demand in the market for these bonds, given their unorthodox nature and the fact that it only pushes the problem out one year. However, we discussed this idea with some sovereign wealth funds and money managers; there may be some interest at 2%- 3% over
EFSF
borrowing spreads. We'll see; if Italy ever restructured, 20% loss protection would not be nearly enough. • Greece defaults, of course…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01169572.pdf
EFTA01859735
Dataset 10
2011-09-21
3p
444w
Subject:
RE: Update
From:
Barrett Paul S
To:
Jeffrey Epsteinueevacation Mall.COM
…Cc: Giuffrida, David J From: Barrett Paul S Sent: Tue 9/27/2011 6:23:03 PM Subject: RE: Update Jeffrey I think we should take advantage of the recent rally to trim some positions that either have limited upside (like our Barclays Pfds and Citi Pfds) or are at risk for further downside if Europe does not ratify the expanded
EFSF
. Recommendation: - trim our CIT from 10MM to 5MM. Would sell $2.5MM of both the 2016 and the…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01859735.pdf
EFTA02008153
Dataset 10
2011-09-21
3p
447w
Subject:
RE: Update
From:
Barrett Paul S
To:
jeevacation@gmaitcom 'eevacation mail.com ; Jeffrey
[email protected]
)
…Cc: Giuffrida, David J From: Barrett Paul S Sent: Tue 9/27/2011 6:23:03 PM Subject: RE: Update Jeffrey I think we should take advantage of the recent rally to trim some positions that either have limited upside (like our Barclays Pfds and Citi Pfds) or are at risk for further downside if Europe does not ratify the expanded
EFSF
. Recommendation: - trim our CIT from 10MM to 5MM. Would sell $2.5MM of both the 2016 and the…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA02008153.pdf
EFTA01774387
Dataset 10
2011-09-27
3p
456w
Subject:
RE: Update
From:
Barrett, Paul S
To:
Jeffrey Epstein
…2011 6:23 PM To: Jeffrey Epstein Cc: Giuffrida, David Subject: RE: Update Jeffrey =/o:p> I think we should take advan=age of the recent rally to trim some positions that either have limited up=ide (like our Barclays Pfds and Citi Pfds) or are at risk for further down=ide if Europe does not ratify the expanded
EFSF
. <= class=MsoNormal> Recommendation: - trim our CIT from 10MM to 5MM. Would sell $2.5mm of =oth the 2016 and the 2017 maturity…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01774387.pdf
EFTA01774251
Dataset 10
2011-09-27
3p
464w
Subject:
Re: Update
From:
jeffrey epstein <
[email protected]
>
To:
Barrett, Paul S
…at 8:23 PM, "Barrett, Paul 511= > > wrote: 1=ffrey I think we should take advantage of the recent rally to trim some position= that either have limited upside (like our Barclays Pfds and Citi Pfds) or a=e at risk for further downside if Europe does not ratify the expanded
EFSF
.= Rec=mmendation: - trim our CIT from 10MM to 5MM. Would s=ll 52.5MM of both the 2016 and the 2017 maturity. We are up on both positio=s - collar…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01774251.pdf
EFTA00410733
Dataset 9
2012-06-22
5p
1,541w
Subject:
Early Tour 6.22.12
From:
Ike Groff
…Hollande, Merkel, Rajoy & Monti meeting in Rome today ahead of the key EU Summit next week and the proposal to allow the
EFSF
/ESM to buy peripheral sovereign debt will remain in focus (will Merkel continue to resist pressure?). The Wyman-Berger audit of Spanish banks out after the European close yesterday indicated capital needs of C51- C62 billion in an adverse scenario (-6.5% real GDP contraction plus additional 26% decline in home prices = down 55-60% from…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00410733.pdf
EFTA00407579
Dataset 9
2012-08-02
6p
1,928w
Subject:
Early Tour 8.2.12
From:
Ike Groff
…22% Copper -0.16% All about the ECB today (statement @ 7:30am, Draghi press conference @ 8.30am) (link<http://www.ecb.int/press/tvservices/webcast/html/webcast_120802.en.html>). Sueddeutsche thinks the ECB will announce a two-pronged plan to buy peripheral bonds in the secondary market (via the SMP) while the
EFSF
/ESM will buy bonds directly in the primary auctions. This seems to be what the market is looking for at a minimum to sustain the recent rally…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00407579.pdf
EFTA00425821
Dataset 9
2011-10-19
5p
1,652w
Subject:
early tour 10.19.11
From:
Ike Groff <MI >
…wrong' moments before the closing bell. This morning, FT Deutschland is reporting that German FinMin Schauble has explained the mechanics of a levered
EFSF
to the government coalition (and according to the sources a maximum volume of el trillion was named with the larger part of this coming from a kind of insurance which would secure 20-30% of the losses if one country would not be able to pay the debt). Meanwhile, the earnings barrage continues here in the…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00425821.pdf
EFTA00920547
Dataset 9
2011-09-27
3p
498w
Subject:
Re: Update
From:
Jeffrey epstein <jeevacation(i/5gmail.com>
To:
"Barrett, Paul S" <
…at 8:23 PM, "Barrett, Paul S" wrote: Jeffrey I think we should take advantage of the recent rally to trim some positions that either have limited upside (like our Barclays Pfds and Citi Pfds) or are at risk for further downside if Europe does not ratify the expanded
EFSF
. Recommendation: - trim our CIT from 10MM to 5MM. Would sell $2.5MM of both the 2016 and the 2017 maturity. We are up on both positions - collar Y2 our MS…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00920547.pdf
EFTA00920545
Dataset 9
2011-09-27
2p
472w
Subject:
RE: Update
From:
"Barrett, Paul S" <
To:
Jeffrey Epstein <jecvacation(kgmail.com>
…CC: "Giuffrida, David J" > Subject: RE: Update Date: Tue, 27 Sep 2011 18:23:03 +0000 Jeffrey I think we should take advantage of the recent rally to trim some positions that either have limited upside (like our Barclays Pfds and Citi Pfds) or are at risk for further downside if Europe does not ratify the expanded
EFSF
. Recommendation: - trim our CIT from 10MM to 5MM. Would sell $2.5MM of both the 2016 and the 2017 maturity. We…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00920545.pdf
EFTA02021174
Dataset 10
2011-09-27
5p
717w
Subject:
RE: Update
From:
Barrett, Paul S
To:
jeevacation mail.com 'eevacation mail.com]; jeffrey epsteinlieevacation©gmail.comj
…at 8:23 PM, "Barrett, Paul S" rote: Jeffrey I think we should take advantage of the recent rally to trim some positions that either have limited upside (like our Barclays Pfds and Citi Pfds) or are at risk for further downside if Europe does not ratify the expanded
EFSF
. EFTA_R1_00526818 EFTA02021175 Recommendation: - trim our CIT from 10MM to 5MM. Would sell $2.5MM of both the 2016 and the 2017 maturity. We are up on both positions…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA02021174.pdf
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