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1 result for “
"Default Study"
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EFTA01458271
Dataset 10
1p
480w
…this cycle is highly uncertain but at face value the immediate impact of a rate hike is not usually negative for credit. This lag impact of a monetary hiking cycle fits in with our model for predicting the default cycle outlined in our 2015
Default Study
published back in April. Here we showed how the level of real yields and the shape of the yield curve tended to help predict where the default rate would be in 30 months time…
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458271.pdf
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